Texas Longhorns vs TCU Horned Frogs NCAA Betting Prediction

Texas Longhorns vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction 2/3/2024

The Texas Longhorns (14-7) travel to face off against the TCU Horned Frogs (16-5) on Saturday, February 3rd. This game will be played at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth and televised on ESPN2. TCU is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas is looking to get back on track from a loss to the BYU. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

Texas Longhorns vs TCU Horned Frogs

The Texas Longhorns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

So far this season, Texas has been much better at home than on the road. They are 11-3 at home but just 3-3 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +14.1, compared to -3.2 on the road. As the underdog, the Longhorns are 2-3.

Over their last 10 road games, Texas has gone 4-6. They are coming off a loss to BYU, 84-72. So far this season, they have gone 14-7, including a 3-4 mark in Big 12 play.

As the underdog this season, Texas has an ATS record of 2-3 and an overall ATS record of 6-14. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Longhorns are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Texas’ games this year (146.2). So far, 16 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 7-3.

The TCU Horned Frogs Are Coming Off A Win

TCU comes into this game as the favorite, with a record of 14-3 in such games this season. They are 10-3 at home this year, including a 7-3 mark in their last 10 games at home.

Overall, the Horned Frogs have gone 16-5 this season, and they are currently on a two-game winning streak. They are 4-3 in Big 12 play, and they have gone 12-2 in non-conference games.

TCU has an ATS record of 12-8 this season and they are 7-6 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Horned Frogs have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for TCU games sits at 11-9. Today’s line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (149.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 171 points and the OU record is 2-1.

Texas Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Longhorns’ offense finished with 72 points, which is right in line with their current average of 76.6 points per contest. Dylan Disu was the leading scorer for the Longhorns, putting up 19 points. In addition, Chendall Weaver contributed 15 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Max Abmas (G) 17.7 2.9 4.3
Tyrese Hunter (G) 11.1 2.4 4.0
Dillon Mitchell (F) 10.9 8.7 1.7

TCU Offense Breakdown

TCU’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Texas Tech, finishing the game with a total of 85 points. Their season average is now 83.7 points per game. Offensively, the Horned Frogs have a season long field goal percentage of 48%, which is 50th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 142nd in percentage and 275th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Emanuel Miller (F) 16.5 5.9 3.0
Micah Peavy (G) 11.6 5.0 2.8
Jameer Nelson Jr. (G) 11.4 2.8 3.0

Texas Team Defense

The Longhorns’ defense is presently ranked 91st nationally, allowing an average of 68.2 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.5 threes per game vs. TCU. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.6%.

TCU Team Defense

TCU’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.9 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.6 threes per game vs. Texas. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.5%.

Longhorns vs Horned Frogs Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Texas has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 72 points per game.
  • In their last three home games, TCU has averaged 85 points per game while allowing 84. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • The last ten games that Texas was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Horned Frogs have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.

Longhorns vs Horned Frogs Prediction

The Horned Frogs is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 76-68. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Horned Frogs at -5.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 151.5 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.