sugar bowl prediction

Texas Longhorns vs Washington Sugar Bowl Prediction 1/1/2024

The Texas Longhorns (12-1) face off against the Washington Huskies (13-0) on Monday, January 1st. This game will be played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 8:45 ET.

Texas Longhorns vs Washington Huskies

The Texas Longhorns Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, Texas faced off with Oklahoma State and picked up an easy 49-21 win. With Quinn Ewers leading the way, he recorded a passer rating of 126.36 by accumulating 452 passing yards against Oklahoma State. During the game, he made 46 passing attempts and completed 76.1% of them.

Going into the game, Texas was favored by 14.5 and went on to cover the spread. The team’s combined 70 points surpassed the over/under line of 57.5.

With a 12-1 record, the Texas Longhorns take on Washington. Their road record so far is (5-1) and at home (6-0).

Against the spread, Texas has gone 7-5 this season. The Longhorns have been favored 11 times compared to one game as the underdog. This season, Texas has posted an over/under record of 4-7-1 through 13 games. On average their games have combined for 53.7 points.

The Washington Huskies Are Coming Off A Win

Even though Washington trailed by 14 heading into the 4th quarter, they still managed to come back and take down Oregon by a score of 34-31. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. threw for one touchdown in Washington’s win over Oregon. Overall, he had a passer rating of 91.72 while completing 69.2% of his passes for 319 yards.

Going into the game, the over/under line was 65.5 points, which the teams did not surpass. Against the spread, Washington picked up a win as 10-point underdogs.

Washington’s current record is 13-0 as they prepare for this week’s game. This year, they’ve played five road games and eight matchups.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Texas, the Huskies have been favored in 11 games and the underdog in two. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 6-6-1. This season, Washington has posted an over/under record of 6-7 through 13 games. On average their games have combined for 61.3 points.

Texas Offense Breakdown

The Longhorns’ offense is gearing up to take on Washington, with an average of 189.5 rushing yards per game and an 5 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 14th place for rushing yards and 12th place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 286.8 yards per contest. Texas’ overall scoring average is at 36.2 points per game, placing them 12th rank nationally.

Quinn Ewers has thrown for 3161 yards this season, with an average of 12.7 per completion. His completion percentage is 70.7%, and he’s recorded 21 touchdowns.

Washington Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense is averaging 37.7 points per game, which ranks them 8th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 343.8 passing yards on average, putting them at 1st in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 90th in rushing yards, with an average of 345 rushing attempts per game this season.

Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. leads the team with 4218 passing yards while completing 65.7% of his passes. So far, he is averaging 9 yards per passing attempt.

Texas Team Defense

In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Texas’ defense is ranked 84th. Opponents, on average, attempt 35.6 passes against the Longhorns. They are allowing 17.5 PPG, which places them 63rd in college football. Their rush defense ranks 8th in the NCAA.

Washington Team Defense

The Huskies’ defense has given up 137.3 rushing yards per game this season, which is 159th. Opponents are recording an average of 263.2 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 80.1 when playing against Washington. In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 59th in NCAA rankings.

Texas vs Washington Trends

  • When playing on the road, Texas has an ATS mark of 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • At home, Washington has gone 3-2 against the spread (last five).
  • In the five most recent times they were the underdog, Washington has put together an ATS record of 4-1.
  • When favored, Texas has gone 6-4 vs. the spread (last 10).

Texas vs Washington Prediction

Texas is poised to not only pick up victory, but cover the spread over Washington. With the stronger passing game, I see this is an excellent matchup for Texas. My pick for this game is Texas at -4.

The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Texas and Washington finishing with a combined 63 points. With the over/under line sitting at 63.5, I’m getting a bet down on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.