texas state vs houston ncaab betting prediction

Texas State vs. Houston Cougars Prediction 12/21/2023

The Texas State Bobcats (6-5) travel to face off against the Houston Cougars (11-0) on Thursday, December 21st. This game will be played at Fertitta Center in Houston and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Texas State Bobcats vs Houston Cougars

The Texas State Bobcats Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their 12th game of the season, Texas State currently holds a 6-5 overall record. In away games, the Bobcats have posted a 3-3 record, while going 1-2 at home. As of today’s game, Texas State holds a 5-4 record against the spread. In their previous five games, they are a perfect 3-0 vs. the spread.

In 11 games, Texas State comes in with an over/under mark of 4-5-0, with their games averaging 134.8 points per game. The Bobcats’ have recorded an over/under record of 0-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 158 points per game.

The Houston Cougars Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their 12th game of the season, Houston holds a perfect 11-0 record. So far, Houston has played three road games and five home games. As of today’s game, Houston holds a 4-4 record against the spread. In home games this season, Houston is 3-2 vs. the spread, while in their previous ten home games, they have gone 5-5 ATS.

After 11 games, Houston has an over/under record of 2-6-0, with their games averaging a combined 128.1 points per game so far. When assessing the Cougars’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 2-1, with their games averaging 131 points per game.

Texas State Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Bobcats’ offense finished with 73 points, which is right in line with their current average of 73 points per contest. Brandon Love is leading the team in scoring at 12.2 points per contest. Dylan Dawson has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 10.5 going into the game.

Brandon Love (F) 12.2 5.8 0.5
Dylan Dawson (G) 10.5 2.1 1.5
Kaden Gumbs (G) 10.1 4.9 4.4

Houston Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Houston offense put up 70 points against Texas A&M. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 42.6% and made 11 threes. The team’s top scorer is LJ Cryer, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 17.7, while Emanuel Sharp also maintains a PPG average of 13.6 leading up to the game.

LJ Cryer (G) 17.7 2.7 1.8
Emanuel Sharp (G) 13.6 3.5 1.1
Jamal Shead (G) 9.4 3.9 6.4

Texas State Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Texas State defense is giving up an average of 69.3 points per contest. So far, the Texas State defense is giving up an average of 7.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.7 times per game (605th).

Houston Team Defense

Houston’s defense has been playing well, ranking 1st nationally, with 49.7 points allowed per game. In today’s game vs. Texas State, the Houston defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Houston made 15 free-throws vs. the Cougars.

Bobcats vs Cougars Trends

  • Texas State has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 66 points per game while allowing 72. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • Although Houston has a straight up record of 10-0 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 3-6. The team averaged 73 points per game in these games.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Texas State has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • Against the spread, the Cougars have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 3-0 straight up.

Bobcats vs Cougars Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Cougars vs. Cougars game, our recommendation is to take the Cougars at -27. Despite our model showing the Cougars winning 79-65, we like Bobcats as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 125.5 and our model has the Bobcats and Cougars finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.