UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Texas Longhorns Prediction

UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Texas Longhorns Prediction 1/1/2024

The UT Arlington Mavericks (6-6) travel to face off against the Texas Longhorns (10-2) on Monday, January 1st. This game will be played at Moody Center in Austin and televised on LHN. Texas is coming off a win in their previous game, while UT Arlington is looking to get back on track from a loss to the North Texas. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

UT Arlington Mavericks vs Texas Longhorns

The UT Arlington Mavericks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

UT Arlington has a 6-6 record through their first 12 games. In their most recent 10 road games, which includes last year, UT Arlington has gone 2-8. As of now, UT Arlington has a 7-3 record against the spread for the season. Looking at their last five games, they are 3-1 vs. the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through 12 games, UT Arlington has an over/under record of 7-3-0, with their games averaging 147.9 points per game on average. The Mavericks’ have recorded an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 140 points per game.

The Texas Longhorns Are Coming Off A Win

Texas has played 12 games so far this season, boasting a 10-2 record. The Longhorns have played two games on the road and have a 1-1 record in those games. At home, Texas is 9-1. Prior to today’s game, Texas holds a 4-8 record against the spread (ATS). This includes a 0-2 record on the road vs. the spread and a 4-6 record at home.

In 12 games, Texas comes in with an over/under mark of 5-7-0, with their games averaging 143.7 points per game. When looking at the Longhorns’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 138 points per game.

UT Arlington Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, UT Arlington offense put up 52 points against North Texas. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 30% and made 3 threes. Offensively, the Mavericks hold a season-long field goal percentage of 42%, placing them 308th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 301st in terms of percentage and 99th in three-pointers made.

Shemar Wilson (F) 13.8 8.8 0.9
Dajuan Gordon (G) 10.0 8.2 3.0
Makaih Williams (G) 7.8 2.8 2.9

Texas Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 79.2 points per game, the Texas had a below average performance. They scored 72 points against UNCG and had a field goal percentage of 47.2%. For the season, the Texas offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 49%. So far, they have hit 55% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 7.3 made three’s per contest.

Max Abmas (G) 17.1 3.0 4.2
Tyrese Hunter (G) 12.7 2.9 4.5
Dillon Mitchell (F) 11.2 9.4 1.9

UT Arlington Team Defense

UT Arlington’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. North Texas, the Mean Green finished with a field goal percentage of 52% and a total of 78 points vs. UT Arlington.

Texas Team Defense

Currently, the Longhorns’ defense holds the 42nd rank in the nation, allowing 64.5 points per game. Texas’ three-point defense is currently 50th in the country at 5.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 39.4% of their shots vs. Texas.

Mavericks vs Longhorns Trends

  • UT Arlington has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 64 points per game while allowing 76. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Across the Longhorns last ten home games, the team averaged 72 points per game while allowing 74. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-6, while going 4-6 straight-up.
  • Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 0-3.
  • The Longhorns have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Mavericks vs Longhorns Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Longhorns vs. Longhorns game, we suggest taking the Longhorns at -18. Even though our predictions have the Longhorns winning 78-66, we see the Mavericks as the better choice on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 146.5, and our model predicts the Mavericks and Longhorns to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.