Utah State Aggies vs Purdue Boilermakers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Utah State Aggies vs Purdue Prediction 3/24/2024

The Utah State Aggies (27-6) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (30-4) on Sunday, March 24th. This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 2:40 ET.

Utah State Aggies vs Purdue Boilermakers

The Utah State Aggies Are Coming Off A Win

Utah State enters this game as a 10.5-point underdog, and they have a 2-5 record as the underdog this season. On the road, the Aggies have gone 10-3 this year, and they have won their last two games away from home.

Overall, Utah State has gone 27-6 this season, and they have gone 15-5 in Mountain West play. In their last game, they defeated TCU by a score of 88-72.

Utah State has an overall ATS record of 16-15-1 this season, including a road ATS mark of 6-6-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aggies are just 2-8 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 4-4-1 over their last 10 games.

Utah State’s over/under record this season sits at 20-12, and today’s line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (144.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 158 points, which is higher than the season average of 149.9. So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

Coming into tonight’s game, Purdue is a heavy favorite, as they have been in 33 of their 34 games this season. So far, they have gone 29-4 as the favorite, and their average margin of victory at home is +17.6.

Over their last ten games at home, the Boilermakers have gone 9-1, and they are 22-1 at home this season. So far, they have gone 30-4 overall, including a 19-4 mark in Big Ten play.

When looking at Purdue’s ATS record this season, they have gone 17-16-2. At home, they are 11-11-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers are just 3-7 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, Purdue has gone 1-2 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Purdue games is 21-13-1. The average over/under line in their games is 147.5 and their games have had an average of 152.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 135 points.

Utah State Offense Breakdown

Utah State is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 88 points vs. TCU. This figure is more than their season average of 79.8 points per game. Leading Utah State in scoring vs. TCU was Ian Martinez with his 21 points. Isaac Johnson also added 19 points for the Aggies.

Great Osobor (F) 18.0 9.2 2.9
Ian Martinez (G) 13.1 3.7 1.7
Darius Brown II (G) 12.4 4.4 6.5

Purdue Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Purdue offense put up 78 points against Grambling State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 47.5% and made 9 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Zach Edey, who holds an average of 24.4 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Braden Smith is averaging 12.5 points per game this season.

Zach Edey (C) 24.4 11.7 2.1
Braden Smith (G) 12.5 5.8 7.3
Lance Jones (G) 12.2 2.8 2.0

Utah State Team Defense

On defense, Utah State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 70.8 points per game. Utah State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the TCU offense to knock down 55% of their shots on their way to putting up 72 points.

Purdue Team Defense

The Boilermakers’ defense is presently ranked 104th nationally, allowing an average of 69.3 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.1 threes per game vs. Utah State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.0%.

Aggies vs Boilermakers Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Utah State has an ATS record of just 4-4-1. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 80 points per game.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Boilermakers offense has averaged 74 points per game while allowing an average of 69. Purdue posted an overall record of 4-1 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • The last five games that Utah State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • The last ten games that Purdue was favored, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 8-2 straight up.

Aggies vs Boilermakers Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Boilermakers vs. Boilermakers game, our recommendation is to take the Boilermakers at -10.5. Despite our model showing the Boilermakers winning 76-69, we like Aggies as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 148.5 and our model has the Aggies and Boilermakers finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.