The Utah State Aggies (19-2) travel to face off against the San Diego State Aztecs (16-5) on Saturday, February 3rd. This game will be played at Viejas Arena in San Diego and televised on FOX. Utah State is coming off a win in their previous game, while San Diego State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Colorado State. Tip-off is set for 3:30 ET.
Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs
The Utah State Aggies Are Coming Off A Win
Utah State is 19-2 this season and has won 16 straight games. The Aggies are 6-0 in Mountain West Conference play and have gone 13-2 in non-conference games. On the road, they are 6-1 and have an average scoring margin of +9.0.
San Diego State is favored by 5.5 points and the over/under is set at 145. Utah State is 16-0 this season when favored, and they are 1-0 as the underdog. In their last game, they beat San Jose State 82-61. Over their last 10 road games, the Aggies are 7-3.
Utah State’s ATS record this season is 11-6, including a mark of 4-3 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aggies have gone just 2-7-1 vs. the spread.
Utah State’s over/under record this season is 10-7 and the average scoring total in their games is 148.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 145 is similar to their average over/under line of 144.3. So far, 8 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 154 points.
The San Diego State Aztecs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
San Diego State has been dominant at home this season, going 10-0 with an average scoring margin of +13.1 points per game. They are also 12-2 when favored, and they have been favored in 14 of their 21 games.
Overall, the Aztecs are 16-5, including a 5-3 record in Mountain West play. They have gone 11-2 in non-conference games, and they are coming off a 79-71 loss to Colorado State.
San Diego State has an overall ATS record of 7-12 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 5-5. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aztecs are 4-6 vs. the spread.
On the season, the over/under record in San Diego State games is 11-8, and today’s over/under line of 145 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (141). So far, 15 of their games have had a lower over/under line than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 142 points.
Utah State Offense Breakdown
The Aggies’ offense wrapped up their last game with 82 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 82.5 points per contest. Great Osobor led the scoring for the Aggies, contributing 31 points. Additionally, Ian Martinez chipped in with 16 points.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Great Osobor (F) | 19.1 | 9.6 | 2.9 |
| Ian Martinez (G) | 13.9 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| Darius Brown II (G) | 11.1 | 3.6 | 6.9 |
San Diego State Offense Breakdown
The Aztecs’ offense wrapped up their last game with 71 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 76 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring was Reese Waters with 17 points. Lamont Butler also added 16 points for the Aztecs.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaedon LeDee (F) | 20.5 | 8.6 | 1.6 |
| Reese Waters (G) | 11.9 | 3.9 | 1.2 |
| Micah Parrish (G) | 10.0 | 4.1 | 1.8 |
Utah State Team Defense
At this time, the Aggies’ defense is positioned 95th in the country, permitting 68.4 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.5 threes per game vs. San Diego State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 25.2%.
San Diego State Team Defense
At this time, the Aztecs’ defense is positioned 74th in the country, permitting 67.3 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.5 threes per game vs. Utah State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 27.0%.
Aggies vs Aztecs Trends
- Through their last three road contests, the Aggies offense has averaged 87 points per game while allowing an average of 89. Utah State posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-1 ATS.
- Although San Diego State has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 0-3. The team averaged 69 points per game in these games.
- The last three games that Utah State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
- Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Aztecs struggled vs the spread going just 2-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 4-1.
Aggies vs Aztecs Prediction
The Aztecs is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 76-68. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Aztecs at -5.5.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 145, and our model predicts the Aggies and Aztecs to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:February 3, 2024 San Diego State Aztecs, Utah State Aggies