Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators NCAAB Betting Prediction

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators Prediction 2/24/2024

The Vanderbilt Commodores (7-19) travel to face off against the Florida Gators (18-8) on Saturday, February 24th. This game will be played at Exactech Arena in Gainesville and televised on SECN. Florida is coming off a win in their previous game, while Vanderbilt is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Georgia. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators

The Vanderbilt Commodores Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

With a 7-19 record, Vanderbilt is 16.0 points worse per game on the road compared to their 7-11 home record. They have lost all eight road games this season and have gone 1-9 in their last 10 games away from home.

As an underdog, the Commodores are 2-16 this season, and they have lost their last two games. In their most recent game, they lost to Georgia, 76-64. On the season, their average scoring margin on the road is -16.0 points per game.

As the underdog, Vanderbilt has gone just 7-10-1 against the spread this season. On the road, the Commodores have an ATS mark of 2-5-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Vanderbilt has posted an ATS record of 3-6-1. In their last three road games, the Commodores have an ATS mark of 0-3.

Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Vanderbilt’s games this season (141.9). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 142 points.

The Florida Gators Are Coming Off A Win

Florida is 13-1 at home this season, and they have won five straight games at home. They are averaging +15.2 points per game at home compared to -1.4 points per game on the road. Overall, the Gators are 18-8, and they have won three straight games.

So far, Florida has been favored in 20 games, going 16-4 in those games. They have an 8-4 record in Southeastern Conference games, and their non-conference record is 10-4.

As the favorite, Florida has gone 9-11 against the spread this season and they are 6-8 vs. the number at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gators are 6-4 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Florida games is 14-10-1. Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (155.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 173 points and their OU record during this stretch is 2-1. On the year, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

Vanderbilt Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Commodores’ offense finished with 64 points, which is right in line with their current average of 66.2 points per contest. Ezra Manjon is leading the team in scoring at 14 points per contest. Tyrin Lawrence has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 13.4 going into the game.

Ezra Manjon (G) 14.0 3.0 3.7
Tyrin Lawrence (G) 13.4 5.0 1.6
Evan Taylor (G) 8.7 3.8 0.3

Florida Offense Breakdown

The Gators’ offense wrapped up their last game with 88 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 85.1 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Walter Clayton Jr., who is averaging 16.8 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Zyon Pullin also maintains a PPG average of 15.6 heading into game.

Walter Clayton Jr. (G) 16.8 3.8 2.7
Zyon Pullin (G) 15.6 4.0 4.7
Tyrese Samuel (F) 12.9 7.8 1.7

Vanderbilt Team Defense

At present, the Commodores’ defense is nationally ranked 241st, allowing 74.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. Georgia, the Bulldogs finished with a field goal percentage of 36% and a total of 76 points vs. Vanderbilt.

Florida Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Florida defense is giving up an average of 77.7 points per contest. Florida’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Georgia offense to knock down 50% of their shots on their way to putting up 82 points.

Commodores vs Gators Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Vanderbilt has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 55 points per game.
  • The Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • The last five games that Vanderbilt was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Gators have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Commodores vs Gators Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Gators vs. Commodores matchup, our bet is to grab the Commodores at +16.5. Even though our projections have the Gators winning 75-70, we see the Commodores as the play on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 152.5, and our model predicts the Commodores and Gators to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.