Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction 12/30/2023

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction 12/30/2023

The Virginia Cavaliers (10-2) travel to face off against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-7) on Saturday, December 30th. This game will be played at Purcell Pavilion in South Bend and televised on ACCN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 12:00 ET.

Virginia Cavaliers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

The Virginia Cavaliers Are Coming Off A Win

Virginia improved to 10-2 on the season after defeating Morgan State 79-44 in their previous game. In their previous five road games, including last year, Virginia has gone 1-4. Virginia has a winning record against the spread at 7-5. In terms of ATS, they are 0-2 on the road and 7-3 at home.

In 12 games, Virginia comes in with an over/under mark of 4-8-0, with their games averaging 121.2 points per game. Looking at the Cavaliers’ last three games, their over/under record is 0-3 with their games averaging 121 points per game.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish Are Coming Off A Win

Notre Dame comes into this game with a 5-7 record through their first 12 games. In their last ten home games, which includes those from last year, Notre Dame has a record of 5-5. Notre Dame has a sub-.500 ATS record, sitting at 5-7. Over their last five games, the team is 2-3 vs. the spread.

Notre Dame comes in with an over/under record of 3-9-0 through 12 games, with their games averaging a combined 129.2 points per game so far. The Fighting Irish’s have recorded an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 121 points per game.

Virginia Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Virginia offense put up 79 points against Morgan State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 47.1% and made 10 threes. Reece Beekman is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 12.9 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Isaac McKneely brings a PPG average of 11.2 into the game.

Reece Beekman (G) 12.9 3.4 5.7
Isaac McKneely (G) 11.2 2.9 1.7
Ryan Dunn (G) 9.0 6.8 0.9

Notre Dame Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Notre Dame offense ended with 60 points against Marist. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 40.9% and made 6 threes. Leading Notre Dame in scoring vs. Marist was Markus Burton with his 21 points. Tae Davis also added 12 points for the Fighting Irish.

Markus Burton (G) 16.0 3.4 3.6
J.R Konieczny (G) 9.8 5.8 0.8
Tae Davis (F) 8.7 5.8 0.8

Virginia Team Defense

At present, the Cavaliers’ defense is nationally ranked 2nd, allowing 54.5 points per game. So far, the Virginia defense is giving up an average of 9.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8.2 times per game (323rd).

Notre Dame Team Defense

In the current season, the Notre Dame defense has excelled, sitting 68th in the nation by allowing 66.6 points per game. The Notre Dame defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 56 points and allowed Marist to connect on 6 threes.

Cavaliers vs Fighting Irish Trends

  • Although Virginia has a straight up record of 1-4 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 0-5. The team averaged 53 points per game in these games.
  • In their last five home games, Notre Dame has averaged 58 points per game while allowing 67. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-4 while going 4-1.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Notre Dame has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 9-1. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Cavaliers vs Fighting Irish Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +9.5, the Fighting Irish is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 114, and our model predicts the Cavaliers and Fighting Irish to score a combined 141 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.