Virginia Tech Hokies vs Louisville NCAAB Betting Prediction

Virginia Tech Hokies vs Louisville Prediction 3/5/2024

The Virginia Tech Hokies (16-13) travel to face off against the Louisville Cardinals (8-21) on Tuesday, March 5th. This game will be played at KFC Yum! Center in Louisville and televised on ESPNU. Virginia Tech is coming off a win in their previous game, while Louisville is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Syracuse. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Virginia Tech Hokies vs Louisville Cardinals

The Virginia Tech Hokies Are Coming Off A Win

Virginia Tech has been much better at home this season, going 15-3 compared to just 1-10 on the road. They have lost five straight road games, and their average margin of defeat is -9.6 points per game. As the favorite, the Hokies are 13-4 this season.

Last time out, Virginia Tech defeated Wake Forest by a score of 87-76. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Hokies are just 1-9.

Virginia Tech has an overall ATS record of 12-15-2 this season, but their mark vs. the spread is just 1-10 on the road. Over their last 10 road games, the Hokies are just 1-9 ATS. However, they have gone 6-3-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the favorite.

This season, the over/under record for Virginia Tech games is 15-13-1. The average scoring total in their games this year is 145.2 points, which is lower than the average over/under line of 143.8. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.

The Louisville Cardinals Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing their most recent contest to Syracuse by a score of 82-76, Louisville’s overall record for the season stands at 8-21. Over their last ten games at home, the Cardinals have gone just 3-7.

On the year, Louisville has been the underdog in 20 of their 29 matchups, going 2-18 in those games. As the underdog, they have an average scoring differential of -12.9 points per game.

As the underdog, Louisville has an ATS record of 9-10-1 this season and they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as the underdog. At home, the Cardinals have an ATS mark of 7-9-2 this season and they are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 home games.

This season, the over/under record for Louisville games is 16-13. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 151.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 152 is above their season average and the average OU line in their games is 147.5. This year, 22 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 140 points.

Virginia Tech Offense Breakdown

Virginia Tech finished with 87 points in their game against Wake Forest. This total surpasses their season-average of 74.6 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Hunter Cattoor with 26 points. Lynn Kidd also added 21 points for the Hokies.

Name PPG REB AST
Sean Pedulla (G) 15.7 4.3 4.5
Hunter Cattoor (G) 14.1 2.7 1.9
Lynn Kidd (C) 13.2 6.6 1.2

Louisville Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Louisville offense put up 76 points against Syracuse. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 43.8% and made 4 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Mike James who comes into today’s matchup averaging 13. Brandon Huntley-Hatfield also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.5.

Name PPG REB AST
Mike James (G) 13.0 5.2 1.4
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (F) 12.5 8.6 0.9
Tre White (G) 13.0 6.0 1.5

Virginia Tech Team Defense

Virginia Tech’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.6 points per game. Virginia Tech’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Wake Forest offense to knock down 59% of their shots on their way to putting up 76 points.

Louisville Team Defense

Looking at the Louisville defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 78.9 points per game (307th). Against Syracuse in their most recent game, the Louisville defense gave up a total of 82 points while allowing Syracuse to hit 43% of their shots.

Hokies vs Cardinals Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Virginia Tech has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 72 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • Across the Cardinals last five home games, the team averaged 70 points per game while allowing 84. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 0-5 straight-up.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Cardinals have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 1-4.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Hokies have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.

Hokies vs Cardinals Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +6, the Cardinals is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 152 and our model has the Hokies and Cardinals finishing with a combined 143 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.