The Virginia Cavaliers (11-3) travel to face off against the North Carolina State Wolfpack (10-3) on Saturday, January 6th. This game will be played at PNC Arena in Raleigh and televised on ACCN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.
Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina State Wolfpack
The Virginia Cavaliers Are Coming Off A Win
Virginia comes into this game as the underdog, and they have an overall record of 11-3. So far this season, they have gone 0-3 on the road, and they are currently on a three-game losing streak away from home.
In their last game, the Cavaliers took on Louisville and came away with a 77-53 victory. Over their last ten road games, Virginia has gone just 4-6, and they have gone 1-1 in the two games this season where they have been the underdog.
Virginia’s ATS record this season is currently 8-6, but they have struggled vs. the spread on the road over the past few years. Over their last 10 road games, the Cavaliers have gone just 1-8-1 ATS. As the underdog, Virginia has gone 4-6 ATS over their last 10 games in that role.
So far this season, the over/under record for Virginia games is 6-8, and today’s line of 126.5 is very close to the average over/under line in their games of 126.8. This year, seven of their games have finished with more points than today’s line, and their last three games have averaged 127 points.
The North Carolina State Wolfpack Are Coming Off A Win
North Carolina State comes into today’s matchup with a record of 10-3 and is favored by 1 point over Virginia. So far this season, the Wolfpack have been perfect at home, going 7-0 and winning their last seven games at home.
In their last game, North Carolina State narrowly defeated Notre Dame by a score of 54-52. Over their last ten games at home, the Wolfpack have gone 9-1.
As the favorite this season, North Carolina State has an ATS mark of 4-5 and their overall ATS record sits at 6-7. Over their last three home games, the Wolfpack are just 1-2 vs. the spread and they are 4-3 ATS at home this year.
North Carolina State’s over/under record for the season sits at 7-5-1. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 126.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points.
Virginia Offense Breakdown
Virginia recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 77 points against Louisville. This output exceeded their season average of 66.6 points per game. The team’s scoring leader is Reece Beekman, who holds an average of 12.9 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Isaac McKneely is averaging 11.4 points per game this season.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reece Beekman (G) | 12.9 | 3.2 | 5.7 |
| Isaac McKneely (G) | 11.4 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Ryan Dunn (G) | 9.7 | 6.9 | 0.9 |
North Carolina State Offense Breakdown
Against Notre Dame, the North Carolina State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 77.8 points per game. They scored 54 points and posted a field goal percentage of 28.8% in the game. D.J. Burns led the scoring for the Wolfpack, contributing 13 points. Additionally, Jayden Taylor chipped in with 12 points.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Horne (G) | 14.5 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| D.J. Burns (F) | 13.2 | 4.9 | 2.6 |
| Jayden Taylor (G) | 12.9 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
Virginia Team Defense
This season, the Virginia defense has been impressive, holding the 2nd position in the country while permitting an average of 55.9 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Virginia’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.4% this season.
North Carolina State Team Defense
Currently, the Wolfpack’s defense holds the 98th rank in the nation, allowing 68.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, North Carolina State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.9% this season.
Cavaliers vs Wolfpack Trends
- In their last five games away from home, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 0-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 52 points per game in this stretch.
- Across their ten previous home games, North Carolina State has an ATS mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 68 points per game.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 1-4.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Wolfpack have a straight up record of 5-0, while going 2-3 against the spread.
Cavaliers vs Wolfpack Prediction
The Wolfpack is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 75-68. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Wolfpack at -1.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 126.5, and our model predicts the Cavaliers and Wolfpack to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:January 6, 2024 North Carolina State Wolfpack, Uncategorized, Virginia Cavaliers