The Wisconsin Badgers (19-11) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (27-3) on Sunday, March 10th. This game will be played at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 12:30 ET.
Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers
The Wisconsin Badgers Are Coming Off A Win
Wisconsin is 19-11 this season, including an 11-8 mark in the Big Ten. On the road, the Badgers are just 3-8, and they have lost five straight away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -5.1 compared to +10.9 at home.
As the underdog, Wisconsin is 4-5 this season, and they are coming off a 78-66 win over Rutgers. Over their last 10 road games, the Badgers are 3-7, and they are 0-5 in their last five.
Wisconsin’s ATS record this season is just 12-18 and they are 2-9 against the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Badgers are just 4-6 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record in Wisconsin games is 18-10-2. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (138.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 154 points.
The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win
After winning their last game against Illinois by a score of 77-71, Purdue is now 27-3 overall and 16-3 in Big Ten play. They have won their last four games and have a perfect 18-0 record at home this season.
For the year, the Boilermakers have been favored in 28 of their 30 games, going 25-3 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home is +19.9 points per game, and they have won their last 18 games at home.
As the favorite this season, Purdue is 14-12-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers are just 4-6 ATS. At home this season, Purdue has an ATS mark of 10-7-1.
Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is slightly lower than the average over/under line in Purdue’s games this season (148.4). Currently, their over/under record is 19-10-1. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.
Wisconsin Offense Breakdown
The Wisconsin offense is coming off a game where they scored 78 points against Rutgers. They posted a field goal percentage of 45% and connected on 9 threes. For the season, the Wisconsin offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 46%. So far, they have hit 52% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 6.8 made three’s per contest.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Storr (G) | 16.2 | 3.8 | 0.9 |
| Tyler Wahl (F) | 11.5 | 5.8 | 1.7 |
| Steven Crowl (F) | 11.1 | 7.7 | 2.0 |
Purdue Offense Breakdown
Compared to their season average of 84.4 points per game, Purdue struggled in their previous game. Against Illinois, the Boilermakers scored 77 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.3%. The top scorer for the Boilermakers was Zach Edey with 28 points, while Fletcher Loyer also chipped in with 16 points.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Edey (C) | 24.1 | 11.7 | 1.9 |
| Braden Smith (G) | 13.1 | 5.8 | 7.1 |
| Lance Jones (G) | 12.4 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
Wisconsin Team Defense
Currently, the Badgers’ defense holds the 107th rank in the nation, allowing 69.5 points per game. Wisconsin’s three-point defense is currently 123rd in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 46.1% of their shots vs. Wisconsin.
Purdue Team Defense
Coming into today’s game, the Purdue defense is giving up an average of 70.2 points per contest. Purdue’s three-point defense is currently 172nd in the country at 7.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.0% of their shots vs. Purdue.
Badgers vs Boilermakers Trends
- In their last three games away from home, the Badgers have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 70 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last three home games, the Boilermakers have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 76 points per game in these contests.
- The last ten games that Wisconsin was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 4-6 straight up.
- The last ten games that Purdue was favored, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 9-1 straight up.
Badgers vs Boilermakers Prediction
For a pick on the point-spread in this Boilermakers vs. Badgers matchup, our bet is to grab the Badgers at +9. Even though our projections have the Boilermakers winning 75-69, we see the Badgers as the play on the point-spread.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 148.5 and our model has the Badgers and Boilermakers finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 10, 2024 Purdue Boilermakers, Wisconsin Badgers