Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue NCAAB Betting Prediction

Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Prediction 3/16/2024

The Wisconsin Badgers (19-12) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (28-3) on Saturday, March 16th. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers

The Wisconsin Badgers Are Coming Off A Win

Wisconsin enters this game as a 6-point underdog, and they have gone 4-6 as the underdog this season. The Badgers have gone 19-12 overall, including a 13-9 record in Big Ten play.

Over their last 10 games, Wisconsin has gone 3-7 on the road, and they are 4-9 on the road this season. Their average scoring margin on the road is -4.2 points per game.

Wisconsin’s ATS record this season is 15-18, and they are 4-9 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Badgers have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 143.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Wisconsin’s games this year (138.5). Their over/under record this season is 20-11-2 and over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1. On average, the scoring total in their games this year is 143.8 points and over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points.

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

After a 67-62 win over Michigan State, Purdue enters today’s game with a 28-3 record. The Boilermakers have won six straight games and are a perfect 20-0 at home this season. Over their last 10 games at home, Purdue is 10-0.

Purdue is favored by 6 points today, and they have been favored in 30 of their 31 games this season. As the favorite, the Boilermakers are 27-3.

As the favorite, Purdue has gone just 14-14-2 against the spread this season. Their home ATS record is 10-9-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers are just 3-7 vs. the spread. At home, Purdue has gone just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.

Today’s over/under line of 143.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Purdue’s games this season (148.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points compared to their season average of 153.6 points per game. So far this year, the over/under record in their games is 20-11-1.

Wisconsin Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Wisconsin offense put up 70 points against Northwestern. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 46.2% and made 10 threes. Offensively, the Badgers hold a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, placing them 94th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 128th in terms of percentage and 221st in three-pointers made.

AJ Storr (G) 16.6 3.8 0.9
Steven Crowl (F) 11.2 7.3 2.0
Tyler Wahl (F) 11.1 5.6 1.8

Purdue Offense Breakdown

The Purdue offense is coming off a game where they scored 67 points against Michigan State. They posted a field goal percentage of 41.5% and connected on 5 threes. For the season, the Purdue offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 48%. So far, they have hit 53% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 8.4 made three’s per contest.

Zach Edey (C) 24.3 11.8 2.0
Braden Smith (G) 12.7 5.8 7.2
Lance Jones (G) 12.3 2.8 2.0

Wisconsin Team Defense

Currently, the Badgers’ defense holds the 88th rank in the nation, allowing 69.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Wisconsin’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 37.4% this season.

Purdue Team Defense

So far, the Boilermakers’ defense is ranked 108th in the country at 70.0 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.3 threes per game vs. Wisconsin. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.7%.

Badgers vs Boilermakers Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Wisconsin has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 70 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Boilermakers offense has averaged 77 points per game while allowing an average of 71. Purdue posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 5-5 ATS.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Wisconsin has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Boilermakers have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 3-7.

Badgers vs Boilermakers Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Boilermakers, with a final score of 76-69, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Boilermakers at -6.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 143.5 and our model has the Badgers and Boilermakers finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.