The Atlanta Braves (19-9) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (17-13) on Wednesday, May 1st. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on BSSO. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 3:40 ET.
Braves vs Mariners
Thanks to a two-run homer from Jorge Polanco and a good outing from Luis Castillo, the Mariners picked up a 3-2 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Mariners were at +111 on the money line.
Castillo went seven innings for the Mariners, giving up just three hits and striking out seven without issuing a walk. He picked up a win in the game, while Andres Munoz closed things out. Reynaldo Lopez had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss.
Ozzie Albies had a two-hit game for the Braves, including a double, but it came in a losing effort. Polanco was the only Mariners hitter to have more than one hit.
Atlanta’s two-game losing streak has them at 19-9 overall, good for a half-game lead over the Phillies in the NL East. The Braves dropped the final game of their series vs. the Guardians and have dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Mariners. So far, they have been good in the division, putting up an 8-4 mark.
At home, the Braves are 11-4 this year, and they are 8-5 on the road. Looking at how they have fared as the favorite, the Braves are 19-9 this year. They have not been the underdog yet. Atlanta’s overall series record is 7-1-1, and they have won five straight series. The Braves have also won two straight series on the road.
When the Braves are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 7-6. Their average run margin in those games is +2.6, and they have covered the run line in four of their last five games. Overall, the Braves have a run line record of 13-15, and their average run margin is +1.6 runs per game.
The Braves have gone under the total in eight straight games, and their games have averaged just five runs per game during that stretch. The average over/under line for their games this season has been nine runs, but today’s line is set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 11-15.
Chris Sale Gets The Start For The Braves
Chris Sale is on the mound for the Braves today, as they take on the Mariners. Sale has been solid in his first 3 starts of the season, picking up wins in his last two outings. In his last start, he went 7 innings and gave up just 1 earned run, and he has 19 strikeouts in 19 innings of work so far this season.
Braves Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Braves are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .269 as a team (2nd) and have the league’s top BABIP at .33. The Braves are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his nine home runs are the 2nd most in the league. He is also batting .327 overall and leads the team with 31 RBIs. Ozuna is also currently on a five-game hitting streak. Michael Harris II has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/31 in his last eight games and is batting .304 for the season.
Seattle has taken the first two games of their series vs. the Braves and are leading the AL West by one game over the Rangers. The Mariners come into today’s game with an overall record of 17-13, and they are 2-1 in division play this year.
As the underdog, the Mariners have won three straight games, and they are 4-1 as the underdog at home. Seattle has been good as the favorite, putting together an 11-7 mark, and they are 11-7 at home compared to 6-6 on the road. The team’s overall series record is 4-4-1, and they have won four straight series overall and two straight on the road.
Seattle has been a strong bet against the run line so far this season, as they are 15-15 overall. They are 9-9 against the run line at home and 6-6 on the road. The Mariners have covered the run line in two straight games at home and are 7-5 as an underdog against the run line.
The Mariners have had a very low-scoring season so far, with a combined run average of just 6.9 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 7-21, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone under in 3 of 9 games. Their current under streak is at 8 games, and their games have gone under in 14 of 30 games this season.
Emerson Hancock Gets The Start For The Mariners
Emerson Hancock is getting the start for the Mariners at home against the Braves. Hancock has started the season with a 2-1 record and has been able to pick up wins in each of his last two starts. He went 6 innings in each of those outings, striking out 4 in each start. Hancock has not allowed a home run in either of his last two starts.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league so far this season, averaging just 3.6 runs per game (25th). They have been even worse at home, putting up only 3.2 runs per contest. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .217, which is 22nd in the league. One of the biggest issues for the Mariners has been their strikeout numbers, as they are averaging 10 per game, which is the worst mark in the league.
Cal Raleigh has been one of the Mariners’ top power threats this season, leading the team with six home runs. However, he is batting just .227 and has gone 3/27 in his last eight games. Julio Rodriguez has a team-high 11 RBIs, but he is also batting just .256 for the season.
Braves vs Mariners Prediction
Our prediction for this Braves vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line, with the payout sitting at +146. We have the Mariners winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Chris Sale with the higher strikeout projection, but we have Emerson Hancock going longer in this one and finishing with seven K’s. Sale is projected to finish with nine strikeouts.
Offensively, we have the Braves finishing with more home runs than the Mariners, but Seattle is projected to outhit the Braves. They have the Mariners finishing with eight hits compared to the Braves with nine.
Another option would be to take the over/under, and we would go with the over, as we have this one finishing with a combined 11 runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 1, 2024 Braves, Mariners