Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 4/30/2024

The San Francisco Giants (14-15) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (16-13) on Tuesday, April 30th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NBCS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Giants vs Red Sox

san francisco giants nba

The Giants’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing one run to the Pirates in the top of the first, the Giants responded with three runs of their own. San Francisco went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.

Keaton Winn put together a good start for the Giants, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. San Francisco’s bullpen closed things out with Camilo Doval picking up the save and striking out the side in the 9th.

San Francisco is 14-15 overall and four games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants closed out their series with the Pirates with a win and are 4-3-2 in series this year. As the favorite, the Giants are 10-8 this year, and they are 2-2 as the favorite on the road. So far, they have gone 9-7 at home.

As for how they have fared on the road, the Giants are 5-8 this year. They have also struggled against other NL West teams, going 6-8 in the division. San Francisco will be on the road today, taking on the Red Sox.

When it comes to betting the run line on the San Francisco Giants, it’s been a mixed bag. They have a negative run differential on the season, but they have been a better bet on the run line on the road than at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog than as the favorite, and their average run differential in wins is +3.4, while it’s -4.3 in losses.

The San Francisco Giants are on a three-game under streak, with their last three games all going under the O/U line. Their combined run average for the season is 8.6 runs per game, and their O/U record is 14-14. Their average O/U line for the season is 8 runs per game, and their O/U record when the line is set at 8 runs is 2-3-1. So far this season, 34.5% of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 8 runs, while 44.8% have had lower lines.

Logan Webb Gets The Start For The Giants

The Giants are sending right-hander Logan Webb to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. Webb has made six starts this season and has a record of 3-1. His ERA is an impressive 2.33, along with a WHIP of 1.11. Webb has been especially tough at home, coming in with an ERA of 0.86 and a record of 2-0. On the road, his ERA is 5.52, and he is 1-1. Overall, he has made five quality starts and is averaging 6.05 strikeouts per nine innings. Webb’s most recent outing was on April 23rd, where he went eight innings and didn’t allow a run.

Giants Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Giants are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, and their team on-base percentage of .311 is also right around the league average. San Francisco’s home run total of 27 is 11th in the league.

Jung Hoo Lee comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .269 for the season. He has two homers and seven RBIs. Michael Conforto and Jorge Soler are the Giants’ top power threats, with Conforto’s five homers leading the team and Soler also having five homers this season. However, Soler is batting just .216 for the season and is hitting just .171 over his last 10 games.

The Red Sox’s most recent game was a 5-4 win over the Cubs to close out their series. Boston was the heavy favorite at -151 at home. Things got tense at the end, as the Cubs pulled to within one run in the 9th, but the Red Sox were able to close things out and pick up the win.

Tanner Houck put together a good start for the Red Sox, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Cubs batters. Boston’s offense was carried by Rafael Devers, who went 2/3 with two RBIs and a run scored. The Red Sox also had three other players with two hits.

Boston’s overall record is 16-13 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Giants, and they are 2.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. The Red Sox are still looking for their first win in the AL East this year, as they are 0-3 so far. Boston has picked up two straight wins, taking the final two games of their series vs. the Cubs.

At home, the Red Sox are 5-8 this year compared to 11-5 on the road. As the underdog, Boston is 8-9 this year and 8-4 when favored. So far, they have an overall series record of 5-3-1.

While the Red Sox have been a profitable bet on the run line overall, they have been a much better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 12-4. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.8, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Red Sox-Giants game is right in line with Boston’s season average of 8 runs per game. The Red Sox have seen their games go over the total in 13 of 26 games this season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.4 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, Boston’s games have gone over the total in just one of five contests.

Cooper Criswell Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Cooper Criswell has started two games and has been used out of the bullpen once this season for the Red Sox. He picked up a win in his last outing, going 5 innings and striking out 3 while not allowing a run. In his first start, he went 4 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 5 hits.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

boston red sox

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are 3rd in home runs and have the 4th best slugging percentage in the league. Boston’s offense has been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 25th in the league in this category.

Over the past nine games, Ceddanne Rafaela has gone 9/36 (.250) with two homers and 11 RBIs. This has helped him take over the team lead in RBIs, despite batting just .194 for the season. Tyler O’Neill comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak, and he is batting .329 for the season with a team-high nine homers.


Giants vs Red Sox Prediction


We see the Red Sox coming away with a 7-6 win in this one, and with them having a money line of +113, that is the route we recommend going. Our model does have the Giants finishing with more hits than the Red Sox, but the Red Sox have a higher projected home run total.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Cooper Criswell has a better chance of picking up a win than Logan Webb. Criswell is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for eighth among starters today, while Webb is projected to finish with four.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.