The San Francisco Giants (26-26) travel to face off against the New York Mets (21-29) on Saturday, May 25th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on NBCS. The Giants are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Giants. First pitch is set for 1:40 ET.
Giants vs Mets
It was a wild game in the most recent game of this Giants vs Mets series. San Francisco went into the matchup as +123 underdogs and squeaked out an 8-7 win. The Giants had a huge 8th inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Mets, they scored their final run in the 9th and had the tying run on first base, but Camilo Doval closed things out for the Giants.
Kyle Harrison got the start for the Giants, going just five innings while giving up four runs and striking out six. He did not factor into the decision as Nick Avila got the win out of the bullpen. Reed Garrett took the loss for the Mets out of the bullpen.
At the plate, the Giants were led by Patrick Bailey and Mike Yastrzemski, who each had two hits and a home run. Bailey, Yastrzemski, and Jorge Soler each scored two runs and drove in two runs for San Francisco’s offense.
San Francisco is on a three-game winning streak, and they are 26-26 overall this season. The Giants will be on the road today, facing the Mets, and they lead the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres. So far, they are 12-11 in divisional matchups.
As the road underdog, the Giants are 7-11 this year compared to 16-12 as the favorite. Their overall home record is 15-10. San Francisco has won two straight series and have an overall series record of 8-6-2 this year. Their overall record in their last ten games is 7-3.
When it comes to betting the run line with the Giants, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 26-26 against the run line overall, but they have been a better bet on the road, going 15-12. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 15-9 as underdogs, compared to 11-17 as favorites. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while it drops to -4.3 in losses.
The San Francisco Giants have played in 53.8% of games with an over/under line set higher than 7.5 runs this season, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 27-23, and the over has hit in their last four games. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs.
Jordan Hicks Gets The Start For The Giants
Jordan Hicks will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Rockies and picked up the win. In that May 19th start, he went five innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Hicks has made 10 starts and has a record of 4-1. His ERA for the season is an impressive 2.38, along with a WHIP of 1.11. Opponents have hit .204 this season off Hicks. So far, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 6.79 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed three homers and is averaging 2.89 walks per nine innings.
Giants Offense Breakdown
Over his last nine games, Matt Chapman has been on fire for the Giants, going 14/33 with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .245 and leads the team with eight homers. Thairo Estrada is also at eight homers for the season, but he has struggled of late, batting just .237 in his last nine games.
As a team, the Giants are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They are also just 14th in home runs and have a team batting average of .250. However, they do have the 7th best on-base percentage in the league and have been good at avoiding strikeouts this season. San Francisco’s most recent lineup has seen Jorge Soler put together a three-game hitting streak.
The Mets are 21-29 overall and trail the Phillies by 15 games in the NL East. They have dropped four straight games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Giants. So far, they are just 5-8 in divisional games and have really struggled, going 2-8 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Mets are 10-15 this year and 11-14 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 12-14 this year and 9-15 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Mets are 6-9-2 and have lost two straight series.
When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.0. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -2.9 runs. They have a run line record of 22-28, with a run line record of 8-17 at home. They have lost their last seven home run line bets.
The New York Mets are set to host the San Francisco Giants today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Mets have seen their games average 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 26-23. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 8-7. Overall, 54.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
Luis Severino is looking to get back in the win column as he gets the start for the Mets today vs. the Giants. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 3.48. Opponents are batting .203 off Severino this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.22. One issue for Severino has been his control, as he is averaging 4.01 walks per nine innings compared to 7.66 strikeouts. So far, he has made three quality starts. Severino’s last outing came vs. the Marlins, where he gave up one homer and three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets have been one of the league’s best road teams in terms of scoring, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. However, they have been much worse at home, averaging just 3.4 runs per game. Overall, they are 17th in the league at 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Mets are batting .238, which is 12th in the league, and they are also 11th in home runs.
First baseman Pete Alonso has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/28 in his last six games, with two homers. He is also on a nine-game hitting streak. Overall, Alonso is batting .240 with a team-high 12 homers. Brandon Nimmo is also near the top of the league in home runs, but he is hitting just .216 for the season.
Giants vs Mets Prediction
Our predicted score for this Giants vs. Mets matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Giants. Given that the Giants are on the road and you can get them at +106, we really like their value on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jordan Hicks finishing with four strikeouts compared to Luis Severino with six. However, we have Severino finishing with a better ERA than Hicks, but we still have the Giants coming out on top.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 25, 2024 Giants, Mets