Guardians vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 4/27/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (18-8) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (18-6) on Saturday, April 27th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSO. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 7:20 ET.

Guardians vs Braves

cleveland guardians nba

Atlanta picked up a 6-2 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 4th inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Guardians, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -261 on the money line.

Chris Sale pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but did issue one walk. Logan Allen got the start for the Guardians, going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up four runs.

Atlanta got a big performance from Orlando Arcia, as he went 2/4 with a home run and three RBIs. Both Ozzie Albies and Marcell Ozuna each drove in two for the Braves’ offense.

Cleveland’s Guardians will be on the road today vs. the Braves, and they lead the AL Central with an 18-8 record. The Guardians are currently 1.5 games ahead of the Royals for the division lead. So far, they have gone 4-1 in divisional matchups. The Guardians dropped their most recent game vs. the Braves but have won seven of their last eight series.

At home, the Guardians have gone 8-4 this year, and they have been even better on the road at 10-4. They have also been good in day games this year, going 9-3. As the underdog, the Guardians have lost two straight, and they are 7-3 as the underdog overall. When favored, the Guardians are 11-5 this year.

The Guardians have been a strong run line bet this season, going 17-9 overall. They are 9-5 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of 2.6 runs per game. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 8-2 on the run line, but have lost their last two games as the run line favorite.

The Cleveland Guardians have played 24 games this season, and their average combined run total in those games is 8.7. Their over/under record is 15-9, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. They have had just one game with an over/under line set at 9 runs, and that game ended up going under the total. Overall, 25 of their 26 games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs.

Tanner Bibee Gets The Start For The Guardians

After starting the season with a win at home, Tanner Bibee will be on the road for his second start of the year, taking on the Atlanta Braves. In that first start, he went 5 2/3 innings and picked up the win, giving up 2 earned runs on 5 hits. He has 20 strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings this season.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Josh Naylor has been one of the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as his six home runs are the best mark on the team and 5th best in the league. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, going just 6/30 in his last eight games. Overall, Naylor is batting .286 for the season. José Ramírez has also hit two homers in his last seven games, and his 23 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 3rd best in the league. He is also on a six-game hitting streak.

For the season, the Guardians are averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is 7th best in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is the 8th best mark in the league, and are also among the league leaders in slugging percentage and isolated power.

Atlanta is hosting the Guardians today with an overall record of 18-6, and they lead the NL East by 2.5 games over the Phillies. The Braves have won four straight games, and they took the final game of their series vs. the Marlins and have won the first three games of this series. So far, they are 8-4 in divisional games.

At home, the Braves have gone 10-3 this year, and they have been really good on the road as well, going 8-3. Atlanta has been good in night games, putting together an 11-3 record, and they are 7-3 in day games. As the favorite, the Braves are 18-6 this year, and they have not been the underdog yet. Looking at their overall series record, the Braves are 6-1-1 and have won four straight series.

The Braves are 6-7 against the run line at home this season, and their average run margin is just 0.9 runs per game. They are 13-11 against the run line overall, and their average run margin is 2.0 runs per game. They are 7-4 against the run line on the road, where their average run margin is 3.3 runs per game. They have won their last game against the run line as the favorite, and they are 13-11 against the run line when favored this season.

The Braves have been trending towards the under lately, with their last four games all falling below the over/under line. Their combined run average for the season is 9.9, and their over/under record is 11-11. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 2-3-1. Today’s line is set at 9 runs, which is their average over/under line for the season.

Charlie Morton Gets The Start For The Braves

Charlie Morton is getting the start for the Braves at home against the Guardians. He has a win in each of his first two starts, and in his last outing, he went 6 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 4. Morton has gone 5 2/3 innings in each of his first two starts.

Braves Offense Breakdown

atlanta braves

Heading into today’s game, the Braves are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 6 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 6.5 runs per game. Not only are the Braves the top-scoring team in the league, but they also have the best team batting average in the league at .282. As a team, they are also the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Marcell Ozuna comes into the game as the league’s top RBI man, with 31 runs batted in, and he is also 2nd in the league with 9 home runs. Ozuna has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/19 in his last six games. Michael Harris II has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/25 in his last six games. For the season, Ozuna is batting .344, and Harris II is hitting .327.


Guardians vs Braves Prediction


Our prediction for this game is to take the Braves to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout being -187, we recommend taking the over on the game line, as we have this one finishing with a score of 6-5 in favor of the Braves.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Tanner Bibee finishing with more strikeouts than Charlie Morton, with Bibee finishing with seven and Morton with six. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look at the over/under on Morton’s strikeout line.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.