marlins vs braves baseball betting

MLB: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 4/22/2024

The Miami Marlins (6-17) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (14-6) on Monday, April 22nd. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSO. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cubs. First pitch is set for 7:20 ET.

Marlins vs Braves

miami marlins nba

The Marlins are coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Cubs with a 6-3 win. Miami was the slight underdog at +105 on the money line going into this road game. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning and added another three runs in the 4th.

Edward Cabrera got the start for the Marlins, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on seven hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Miami is still looking for just their 7th win of the season, as they are currently 6-17. In the NL East, they are in 5th place and trail the Braves by 9.5 games. So far, they have yet to win a series, going 0-6-1.

At home, the Marlins are 2-11 compared to 4-6 on the road. Miami picked up a series win in their most recent matchup vs the Cubs. This came after going on a four-game losing streak.

When the Marlins have won, they’ve done so by an average of 3.5 runs per game, but when they’ve lost, they’ve lost by an average of 3.5 runs per game. Their run line record is 8-15 overall, but they’re 5-5 on the road and 3-10 at home. As the favorite, they’re 0-7, but as the underdog, they’re 8-8.

The Marlins have had a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 13-10. Their average over/under line for the season has been 8 runs per game, but when the line has been set at 9 runs, the over/under record is 2-1. Only 4.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and the majority of their games have had lower lines set.

Ryan Weathers Gets The Start For The Marlins

Ryan Weathers will be getting the start for the Marlins today on the road against the Braves. Weathers has started the season with a win in each of his first two starts, and he’s coming off a 10-strikeout performance in his last outing. He also has 1 home run allowed in each of his last two starts.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

For the Marlins, we like Luis Arraez to have a good game offensively. He has the highest total hits projection on the team and in the league today. If you’re looking for a long shot bet, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has the best home run projection on the team and the 10th best in the league today. Josh Bell is also a top candidate to hit a home run, as his projection is 10th best in the league.

The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 6-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Rangers scored four runs in the top of the 4th. Atlanta was the -167 favorite at home going into the game.

Darius Vines got the start for the Braves and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits. The Braves’s offense was carried by Marcell Ozuna, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

With a record of 14-6, the Braves lead the NL East heading into today’s game vs. the Marlins. So far, the Braves hold a one-game lead over the Phillies. This season, the Braves are 5-4 against division opponents.

At home, the Braves are 6-3 and have gone 8-3 on the road. Coming into today’s game, they have won three straight series. Overall, their series record is 5-1-1.

Despite being just 3-6 against the run line at home, the Braves have an average run margin of -0.1 runs per game at home, compared to +3.3 on the road. They are 7-4 against the run line on the road and 10-10 overall. In their 10 wins, they’ve outscored opponents by an average of 4.0 runs per game, while they’ve been outscored by an average of 3.5 runs per game in their 10 losses.

The Braves have had a high-scoring season so far, with a combined run average of 10.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 11-7, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 2-2-1. Overall, 45% of their games have had higher lines than 9 runs, and 30% have had lower lines.

Bryce Elder Gets The Start For The Braves

Bryce Elder is coming off a season in which he made 31 starts and finished with a record of 12-4. His ERA for the season was 3.81, while his WHIP was 1.28. Last season, he made three appearances against the Marlins, going 1-0 with an ERA of 3.49. For the season, he had 16 quality starts and allowed a total of 19 home runs. His strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 2.0, while his walks per game average was 2.0. For the season, he averaged 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings.

Braves Offense Breakdown

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Our player projections have Marcell Ozuna as the Braves’ top offensive player in this game. He has the 3rd highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is the best on the team and 1st in the league today. Ronald Acuña Jr. is our top Braves player in terms of total hits, as his projection is the 5th best in the league today. His home run projection is 2nd on the team and 7th in the league. If you’re looking for a Braves player to hit a home run, Adam Duvall is 2nd on the team and 7th in the league in terms of home run projections.

 

Marlins vs Braves Prediction

 

Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Braves matchup is to take the Braves to win, but with a money line of -234, we recommend taking the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Braves, giving us plenty of wiggle room with the over/under line.

Looking at some of the projections for today’s starters, Ryan Weathers is someone we would stay away from, as his chances of picking up a win are second worst among today’s starters. Weathers is also projected to finish with just four strikeouts, and his chances of picking up a win are not great.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.