Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 4/24/2024

The Miami Marlins (6-19) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (16-6) on Wednesday, April 24th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSO. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 7:20 ET.

Marlins vs Braves

miami marlins nba

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Marlins series came right down to the end, as the Marlins rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 5-4 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -262 on the money line.

Max Fried pitched well for the Braves in this one, going nine innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Trevor Rogers took the loss for Miami. Rogers went just 5 2/3 innings and gave up three earned runs.

Adam Duvall hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with two RBIs. Travis d’Arnaud also had a two-hit game for Atlanta. Luis Arraez did a bit of everything for the Marlins, going 2/4 with a run scored while stealing a base.

Miami is on the road today, looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Cubs. The Marlins are 6-19 overall, and they are in 5th place in the NL East, 11.5 games behind the Braves. So far, they have gone just 1-4 against other teams in the NL East.

As the underdog, the Marlins are 6-12 this season compared to 0-7 when favored. Miami has really struggled at home, going 2-11, and they are just below .500 at 4-8 on the road. The Marlins have also really struggled in series, as they are 0-6-1 this year and have lost four straight series at home.

When the Marlins win, they do so by an average of 3.5 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.5 runs per game. They are 8-17 vs. the run line this season, and they are 5-7 vs. the run line on the road. They are 8-10 vs. the run line as the underdog, but 0-7 as the favorite.

The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves have had a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, but the over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs. The Marlins have played 25 games this season, and 20 of them have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs. Their over/under record is 13-12, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 2-1. Their last two games have gone under the total, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs for just 8.0% of their games this season.

Sixto Sánchez Gets The Start For The Marlins

Miami is sending Sixto Sánchez to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he is coming out of the bullpen for the Marlins. So far, he has made seven appearances and has a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 6.14. Sánchez has made three appearances on the road and has an ERA of 21.0 in those outings. Overall, he has a 3.38 ERA at home. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.50 and has issued 3.68 walks per nine innings compared to 3.68 strikeouts. Sánchez most recently pitched on April 20th vs. the Cubs, where he went one inning out of the bullpen and didn’t give up a run.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Marlins are batting just .217 this season, which is 22nd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Miami is hoping that Luis Arraez can keep up his hot hitting, as he has gone 13/39 in his last nine games and is batting .284 for the season. Bryan De La Cruz has been a solid power threat for the Marlins, with his five homers being 4th best in the league.

Over his last four games, Avisaíl García has gone 4/12 with a home run. This is part of a stretch where he is batting .333 in his last nine games. Luis Arraez is also on a three-game hitting streak. Arraez has gone 13/39 in his last nine games and is batting .284 for the season.

With an overall record of 16-6, the Braves lead the NL East by two games over the Phillies. The Braves have won two straight games, taking the first two games of their series vs. the Marlins. Looking at their overall series record, the Braves are 5-1-1 and have won three straight series.

So far, the Braves have been really good at home, going 8-3, and they have also been good on the road, where they are also 8-3. Atlanta has been the favorite in all of their games this year, and they are 2-0 as the favorite in their last two games. Today, they will be looking to win three straight games as the favorite.

Atlanta has been a solid run line bet this season, going 12-10 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 7-4 ATS. They have covered the run line in 2 straight games and are 12-10 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.0, while it is -3.5 in their losses.

The Braves and Marlins have an over/under line of 9 runs today. The Braves’ games have averaged 10.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 11-9. The over/under line has been set at 9 runs in 45.5% of their games this season, and their games have gone over the line in 2 of the 5 games with a line of 9 runs. Their last two games have gone under the total.

Reynaldo López Gets The Start For The Braves

Reynaldo López will be making his third start of the season for the Braves, and he has been solid in his first two outings. He picked up a win in his last start vs. the Astros, going 6 innings and striking out 7. He has yet to give up a home run this season.

Braves Offense Breakdown

atlanta braves

Marcell Ozuna has been the league’s top power hitter so far, leading the majors with nine home runs, while also batting .326 for the Braves. Ozuna has gone deep three times in his last nine games, going 9/32 in that stretch. Michael Harris II has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/39 in his last nine games, and is batting .315 for the season.

Overall, the Braves lead the league in scoring at 6 runs per game, while also leading the league in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are also 4th in home runs and have the league’s best isolated power mark.


Marlins vs Braves Prediction


With the Marlins at +195 on the money line, this is a great value pick for today’s Marlins vs. Braves matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Marlins, giving you some options if you are looking to play the over/under, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Reynaldo López is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, and with a win probability of 7th best among starters, we would look to stay away from him on the player prop market.

For the Braves, they are projected to finish with 10 hits compared to the Marlins with 12. However, the Braves are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, which is the most among all teams today.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.