New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 4/11/2024

The New York Mets (4-7) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (7-3) on Thursday, April 11th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSO. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 12:20 ET.

Mets vs Braves

new york mets nba

The Braves and Mets played a close game in the previous matchup of this series, with the Braves pulling out a 6-5 win at home. Despite being outhit 12-11, the Braves were able to get the job done. The Mets hit one more home run than the Braves, but it wasn’t enough to get the win.

Reynaldo Lopez got the start for the Braves and didn’t give up a run in his six innings of work. Adrian Houser took the loss for the Mets, giving up five earned runs on eight hits. Pete Alonso had a big game for the Mets, going 2/4 with a home run and three RBIs.

On the other side, the Braves had three different players drive in two runs, and Ronald Acuna Jr. scored three times. Raisel Iglesias picked up the save for the Braves, while the Mets didn’t have a save opportunity.

After splitting the first two games of their series with the Braves, the Mets are currently 4-7 on the season and are in 4th place in the NL East, 3.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead. New York has struggled at home this season, going just 1-5, but they have been better on the road, posting a 3-2 record.

Overall, the Mets are 2-5 as the favorite and 2-2 as the underdog. In the NL East, they are 1-1, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

When the Mets are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 4-1 in those games. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 3-1 against the run line in those games. Overall, the Mets are 4-7 against the run line this season, with an average run margin of -1.2 runs per game.

The Mets have played 11 games this season, and their average combined run total is 8.1 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 5-6, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. However, when the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in both games. Overall, only one of their 11 games this season has had an over/under line set at 9.5 runs.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

Jose Quintana is on the mound for the Mets today, as they take on the Braves on the road. Quintana has made two starts so far this season, and he is still looking for his first win. In his last start, he went 5 2/3 innings, allowing 1 earned run on 5 hits and struck out 4.

Mets Offense Breakdown

When it comes to the Mets’ offensive projections, Pete Alonso is the player to watch, as he has the highest home run projection on the team and the 7th best in the league today. Brandon Nimmo has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 11th best in the league. Jeff McNeil is 2nd on the team in total hits and 5th in terms of home run projections. If you’re looking for a longshot, Francisco Alvarez has the 10th best home run projection in today’s slate of games.

Allan Winans Gets The Start For The Braves

Coming off a season in which he made six starts, Allan Winans is set to face the Mets. Last season, he went 1-1 in two starts against New York, finishing with an ERA of 4.85. Overall, Winans went 1-2 with an ERA of 5.29 in his six starts. His WHIP for the season was 1.39, and he gave up a total of five home runs. For the season, Winans had two quality starts, and his strikeouts per nine innings were 9.46.

Braves Offense Breakdown

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Our player projections for the Braves’ offense today have Ronald Acuña Jr. leading the way in terms of total hits, as he has the highest hits projection on the team and in the entire league for today’s games. Marcell Ozuna has the 5th highest total hits projection on the team, but he does have the highest home run projection for the Braves and the 4th best home run projection in today’s slate of games. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projections and 5th in the league for today’s games.


Mets vs Braves Prediction


Our prediction is that the Braves will pick up a 5-4 win over the Mets. However, with the payout for a Braves win being -172, we actually recommend taking the under at 9.5 runs. You can get the under at -115, and we have this game actually finishing with a combined nine runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Jose Quintana is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and we have him going just four innings. As for the Braves, they are projected to finish with eight strikeouts, and they actually have the best home run projection of any team in action today.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.