Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 4/28/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (14-14) travel to face off against the San Francisco Giants (13-15) on Sunday, April 28th. This game will be played at Oracle Park in San Francisco and televised on SN PT. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Giants are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 4:05 ET.

Pirates vs Giants

pittsburgh pirates nba

Pittsburgh rallied for three runs in the 10th inning in the most recent game of this Pirates vs. Giants series. The Pirates scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 10th, picking up a 4-3 win. Heading into the game, the Pirates were at +125 on the money line.

San Francisco wasted a good outing from Jordan Hicks, as he gave up just one run in six innings of work for the Giants. Taylor Rogers took the loss. Hunter Stratton got the win out of the bullpen for the Pirates as Martin Perez went six innings, giving up four hits and no earned runs.

Offensively, the Pirates were led by Bryan Reynolds and Ke’Bryan Hayes, as they were the only two Pirates hitters to have more than one hit. Reynolds, Hayes, and Connor Joe each had an RBI for Pittsburgh’s offense.

Pittsburgh is at an even 14-14 overall heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Giants. The Pirates are 4th in the NL Central, four games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they are 2-2 in divisional games and picked up a win in the first game of this series vs. the Giants.

At home, the Pirates have gone just 5-7 this year. They have been a bit better on the road, coming in at 9-7. As the underdog, the Pirates are 11-9 this year compared to 3-5 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Pirates are 3-2-3 this year.

As underdogs, the Pirates have been a solid bet against the run line, going 13-7, compared to just 3-5 as favorites. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.9, while in losses it’s -3.2. Overall, Pittsburgh’s run line record is 16-12, and they are 10-6 against the run line on the road.

So far this season, the Pittsburgh Pirates have played 28 games with over/under lines set. 22 of those games have had higher lines than the 7.5 set for today’s game against the Giants. The Pirates have gone under in 13 of their games and over in 15. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 1-3. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game overall.

Jared Jones Gets The Start For The Pirates

Jared Jones will be making his 4th start of the season for the Pirates, and it will be on the road against the Giants. Jones has been solid in his first three outings, going 1-1 with a no-decision. He is coming off a win in his last start, where he went 6 innings and gave up just 1 run on 4 hits.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Pirates offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. At home, they have been even worse, averaging only 3.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 15th in the league, and are 11th in home runs. Pittsburgh has been good at drawing walks this season and have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league.

Currently, the Pirates have three players tied for the team lead in home runs, with Bryan Reynolds’ four homers being 7th in the league. Reynolds also leads the Pirates with 17 RBIs, which is 10th in the league. However, he is batting just .264 for the season and has gone 6/27 in his last seven games. Andrew McCutchen has also struggled this season, hitting just .205, and is 6/25 in his last seven games.

San Francisco is hosting the Pirates today with an overall record of 13-15, which has them 2nd in the NL West, tied with the Padres and 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Giants dropped the final game of their series vs. the Mets and followed that up by taking game one vs. the Pirates, but they lost the most recent meeting.

As the favorite, the Giants have gone 9-8 this year and 4-7 as the underdog. At home, they are 1-1 as the underdog. So far, the Giants are 8-7 at home compared to 5-8 on the road. This year, the Giants’ overall series record is 3-3-2.

San Francisco has been a tough team to figure out this season, as they have a negative run differential overall and have been even worse at home. The Giants are 13-15 against the run line this season, but just 6-9 at home. They have been slightly better on the road, going 7-6 against the run line. They have been a better bet when they are the underdog, going 7-4 against the run line in those games.

San Francisco’s over/under record is 14-13 on the season, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 7-4. The Giants’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Pirates is set at 7.5 runs. The over/under line has been set above 7.5 runs in 57.1% of their games this season, and their last two games have gone under the total.

Keaton Winn Gets The Start For The Giants

Keaton Winn has started the season with a 2-1 record, and he will be making his third start of the season today. He has picked up wins in his first two outings, with his most recent start coming at home vs. the Mets. In that game, he went six innings, allowing just one earned run. Winn has been able to strike out 16 batters in 17 innings of work this season.

Giants Offense Breakdown

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Michael Conforto has been on a tear of late for the Giants, going 9/29 in his last seven games with one home run. Conforto is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Overall, he is batting .277 with five homers, which is 1st on the team and 6th in the league. Jorge Soler is also tied for the team lead with five homers but has struggled of late, hitting just .167 in his last seven games.

As a team, the Giants are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .244, which is 13th in the league.


Pirates vs Giants Prediction


Given the payout, we really like the Pirates on the money line in this one. We have the Pirates winning by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the over, as we have the game’s combined score going over 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jared Jones finishing with five strikeouts, which is good for 15th among starters. As for Keaton Winn, we have him finishing with nine strikeouts, which is ninth among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.