San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Prediction

MLB San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5/19/2024

The San Diego Padres (23-24) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (26-15) on Sunday, May 19th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on ESPN. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Padres vs Braves

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San Diego picked up a 3-1 road win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and picking up the game’s final run in the 5th. On the other side, the Braves got on the board with one run in the 5th.

Matt Waldron started for the Padres and picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued two walks. Jeremiah Estrada got the save. Max Fried had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss after going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up three runs.

Jake Cronenworth, Xander Bogaerts, and Jurickson Profar each had two hits for the Padres. Cronenworth scored two of the team’s three runs. Atlanta’s top hitter was Matt Olson, who went 2/4 with an RBI.

San Diego is 23-24 overall and trail the Dodgers by 7.5 games in the NL West. The Padres are currently 2nd in the division, and they lead the Braves in the series 1-0. So far, they have gone just 12-13 in divisional games.

At home, the Padres are only 10-16 this year, but they have been good on the road, going 13-8. As the road favorite, the Padres are 5-3 this year, and they have won two straight as the road favorite. San Diego’s overall record includes a mark of 14-14 as the favorite and 9-10 as the underdog.

When the Padres are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line. Their overall run line record is 25-22, but they are 17-4 against the run line on the road. Their average run differential on the road is +1.5 runs per game, compared to -1.0 runs per game at home. They have covered the run line in four straight games and are 13-6 against the run line as an underdog.

San Diego’s over/under record for the season is now 24-22 after the Padres’ 4-0 win over the Braves on Monday. The combined run average in Padres games is 9.0, and the average over/under line for their games is 8.0. The Padres have played just two games with an over/under line of 9.0, and both have gone under.

Yu Darvish Gets The Start For The Padres

Yu Darvish will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that May 12th start vs. the Dodgers, he went seven innings. For the season, Darvish has made eight starts, and he has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 2.43. Looking at his overall numbers, Darvish has a WHIP of .98 and opponents are batting .187 vs. the right-hander. Darvish has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 8.19 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed a total of two homers.

Padres Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Padres are 10th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road this season, putting up 5.3 runs per game. San Diego has a team batting average of .255, which is 5th in the MLB, and are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. So far, they have the 9th most home runs in the league.

Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both in the top 10 in the league in home runs, and Profar’s 30 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 9th in the MLB. Profar is also on a six-game hitting streak and went 7/27 in his last eight games. Luis Arraez has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 9/30 in his last seven games.

With a record of 26-15, the Braves are four games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have dropped two straight games, and this losing streak includes losing the series opener vs. the Padres. So far, they have been good against other NL East teams, going 10-5 in the division.

At home, the Braves are 15-6 this season compared to an 11-9 mark on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 0-3, and they have lost three straight games as the underdog. As for their record as the favorite, the Braves are 26-12 this season. Looking at their overall series record, the Braves are 10-3-1 and have won three straight series.

When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. That has helped them to a 22-19 run line record this season. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 12-8, compared to 10-11 at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games at home, and they are 20-18 on the run line as the favorite.

The Braves have hit the under in 10 straight games, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs. The Braves’ games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 12-27. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Braves are 2-6-1 on the season.

Bryce Elder Gets The Start For The Braves

Getting the start for the Braves today is righty Bryce Elder. He has had a bit of a mixed bag in his first few starts, as he picked up a win in his first outing but took a loss in his last start. His most recent outing was a no-decision, in which he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. Elder’s first start of the year was a win over the Marlins, and he went 6 2/3 innings without allowing a run.

Braves Offense Breakdown

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Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 8/20 in his last six games. This has helped him take over the team lead in batting average (.325) and RBIs (41). Ozuna has also been a big power threat for the Braves, as his 12 homers are 3rd in the league. Ozuna is also on a 10-game hitting streak. Matt Olson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/21 in his last six games with five RBIs.

Overall, the Braves are 8th in runs per game at 4.7 and have been one of the league’s top-hitting teams, batting a collective .254. As a team, they are also 6th in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Currently, they are 13th in home runs and have been getting good production out of the DH spot, with Ozuna, and catcher Travis d’Arnaud, both having five homers.

Padres vs Braves Prediction

Our prediction for this Padres vs. Braves matchup is to take the Braves on the money line at -116. We have the Braves winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 9 runs, there isn’t a lot of room for error, and we see this one finishing with exactly nine runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish going five innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for the Braves’ starter, Bryce Elder, we have him also finishing with six strikeouts and going 5.1 innings.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.