NBA: Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/12/2024

The Orlando Magic (21-16) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (21-16) on Friday, January 12th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on BSSU. Both the Magic and Heat will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 ET.

Magic vs Heat

orlando magic nba

The Magic Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Magic will look to bounce back from a defeat in their last game, losing to the Timberwolves with a final score of 113-92. Alongside their straight-up loss, the Magic couldn’t cover as +5 point underdogs. In terms of the over/under, the combined 205 points was below the over/under line of 217.

When looking at the Magic’s overall record of 21-16, they are above .500. At home, the Magic are 13-5 compared to their 8-11 record on the road.

Orlando currently has an ATS record of 25-12, placing them above .500 against the spread. This season, Orlando has a 9-3 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 16-9 when playing as underdogs.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Bam Adebayo led Miami with 25 points against the Thunder, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 46.1% in the game. Jaime Jaquez Jr. added 21 points, but unfortunately, Miami was defeated in the game with a score of 128-120.

The Heat are 21-16 overall and have gone 2-3 in their last five games. They are 7th in the Eastern Conference and are first in the Southeast division.

Miami arrives with an ATS record of 17-19 for the season up to this point. The Heat have suffered two consecutive ATS losses when playing as underdogs, and they are 9-10 against the spread when they are the favorites.

Magic Offense Breakdown

In 37 games games, Orlando has an average of 113.3 points per game (20th).

So far this season, the Magic have been an average offensive team, ranking 20th in scoring at 113.3 points per game. On the road, they have averaged 111.1 points per game.

When it comes to pace, Orlando has been one of the faster teams in the league, ranking 12th at 99.8 possessions per game.

In terms of field goal percentage, the Magic are 18th in the NBA at 46%. They have been a better two-point shooting team (53%) than three-point shooting team (34%). Overall, they are 22nd in true shooting percentage.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

The Heat come into today’s game as the 23rd ranked scoring offense at 112.9 points per game.

At home, the Heat are averaging 117.1 points per game, which is 12th in the NBA. Overall, they are 23rd in scoring at 112.9 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the league.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 3rd in the NBA at 38%. They are also 14th in three-pointers made per game at 12.9.

So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.2% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, the Heat are 19th in the league at 46%.

Magic Team Defense

So far this season, the Magic defense has been performing well, ranking 9th in the NBA at 112.0 points allowed per contest. Inside the arc, the Magic defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.8% and 35.8% from three-point territory.

Heat Team Defense

On defense, the Heat come into the game ranked 10th in the league in points allowed at 112.1 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 118 points per contest (7th). The Miami defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.2% of their field goal attempts vs. Miami.

Key Players For The Magic And Heat

For today’s matchup, we project Paolo Banchero to lead the scoring for the Magic, putting up 20 points and shooting at a rate of 7/16. Throughout this season, his average stands at 22.9 points per game, along with 7.1 rebounds.

As for Miami, Jimmy Butler is projected to be the primary scorer for the Heat. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 22, and adding 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 46.4%, and he is contributing 21 points per game on average.

Magic vs Heat Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Magic have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 115 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Heat offense has averaged 106 points per game while allowing an average of 109. Miami posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Magic have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Magic vs Heat Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Heat to win, and have the projected score sitting at 114-107. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Heat at -3.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 219, and our model predicts the Magic and Heat to score a combined 221 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.