Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction 5/3/2024

The Dallas Stars (52-21-9) travel to face off against the Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8) on Friday, May 3rd. This game will be played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas and televised on TNT. The Stars are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Golden Knights are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Ducks. Puck drop is set for 10:00 ET.

Stars vs Golden Knights

dallas stars nhl

The Dallas Stars Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into today’s game against the Golden Knights, the Stars are 52-21-9 and have 113 points, putting them in first place in both the Central Division and the Western Conference. Over their last ten games, Dallas has gone 7-3, and they have won their last two games as the favorite.

On the road this season, the Stars have gone 26-10-5, and they have won their last two games when favored. Against other Western Conference teams, Dallas has gone 34-16 this year.

On the season, Dallas has been favored in 71 games and has an average scoring margin of +.8 goals per contest. So far, the team’s puck line record is 36-46, including going 27-44 as the favorite.

Across their last ten road games, the Stars have gone 8-2 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin on the road is +.8 goals per game. Overall, Dallas has 29 wins by multiple goals and has gone 3-7 against the puck line in their last ten games.

Facing the Blues in their last game, the Stars won by a score of 2-1. In the first and second periods, the Stars didn’t score a goal, but they managed to break the drought with one goal in the third period. In the game, Dallas managed to score all two goals at even strength. They concluded with 37 shots on goal and committed 10 turnovers.

Although Dallas secured a straight-up win, they did not cover the puck line, as they were favored by -1.5. Combining for 3 goals, the game finished below the over/under line of 6.

The Vegas Golden Knights Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, the Golden Knights have gone 27-12-2, and overall, they are 45-29-8. In the Western Conference, Vegas is in 8th place and 4th in the Pacific Division. In their last ten games, the Golden Knights are 5-5, and they have lost their last three games.

As the underdog, Vegas has gone 14-10-4 this season, and they have lost their last two games when not favored. Against Western Conference opponents, the Golden Knights have gone 30-20 this season. In games against the Stars, Vegas is +1.5 on the puck line.

At home this year, the Golden Knights have gone 22-19 vs. the puck line, and their overall puck line record is at an even 41-41. So far, they have 28 wins by multiple goals and 17 by just one goal.

Over their last ten games, Vegas has gone 6-4 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring margin is +.3 goals per game. As the underdog, their puck line record is 21-7, and in their last five games, they are 4-1 vs. the puck line.

The Golden Knights are looking to bounce back from a 4-1 loss at home to the Ducks. Offensively, the Golden Knights did not score in the first or third periods vs. the Ducks but found the net one time in the second period. The team’s one goal came when they were in power play. Overall, they took 33 shots on goal and had 8 giveaways.

Vegas took a loss vs. the puck line in the game, going into the game favored by -1.5. The over/under line for the game was 6, and it concluded with a combined total of 5 goals.

Dallas Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Stars are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 3rd spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 11th in the league. The Dallas offense is ranked 11th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 2nd in the NHL.

This season, the over/under record for the Stars’ is 42-39-1. Over the course of the season, they have had 48 games that exceeded the over/under line of 5.5. On average, their games are averaging 6.5 goals per game.

Golden Knights Offense Breakdown

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The Golden Knights come into the game scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game, putting them 13th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 13th in the league. The Golden Knights went 24-16 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 19-13.

The Golden Knights’ over/under record this season is 40-42-0. For the season, they have had 44 games that surpassed this game’s over/under line of 5.5. Overall, their games are averaging6.2 goals per game.

Dallas Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Stars head into the game ranked 27th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 28.6 shots per game against Dallas. So far, they are 21st in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Vegas Team Defense

The Golden Knights defense is currently 13th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.2 shots per game against Vegas. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 23rd with 3 shutouts.

Stars vs Golden Knights Trends

  • In their last five road games, Dallas has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2 . The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Although Vegas has a straight up record of 2-3 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 2-3. The team averaged 2 goals per game in these games.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Vegas has an puck line mark of 4-1 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Dallas has an puck line mark of 2-8 while going 6-4 straight up.

Stars vs Golden Knights Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Golden Knights to pick up on a win over the Stars at home. With the moneyline sitting at -106, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Golden Knights straight-up.

Our projections have the Golden Knights pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Golden Knights, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.