Penguins vs Ottawa Senators NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Penguins vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 3/12/2024

The Pittsburgh Penguins (28-27-8) travel to face off against the Ottawa Senators (25-33-4) on Tuesday, March 12th. This game will be played at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa and televised on ESPN+. Both the Penguins and Senators will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Penguins vs Senators

pittsburgh penguins nhl

The Pittsburgh Penguins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Heading into tonight’s game, the Penguins are 13th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 28-27-8. In the Metropolitan Division, they are in 7th place. Over their last ten games, Pittsburgh has gone 4-6 and they have dropped three straight games.

On the road this season, the Penguins have gone 12-15-4, and they have lost their last four road games. When favored, Pittsburgh has gone 19-15-5 this season.

On the road this season, the Penguins have a puck line record of 15-16 and their average scoring margin is -.2 goals per game. So far, Pittsburgh has 18 losses by more than one goal.

Overall, the team’s puck line record is 29-34, and they have dropped their last three games vs. the puck line. In their last ten road games, the Penguins have a puck line record of 4-6.

The Penguins aim to bounce back following their 4-0 loss at home to the Oilers. In the game against the Oilers, Pittsburgh’s offense had a tough time and didn’t score a single goal. While being shutout, the Penguins’ offense finished with 9 giveaways and took a total of 41 shots on goal.

Entering the game as the underdog, Pittsburgh not only suffered a straight-up loss but also failed to cover the puck line. With a combined total of 4 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

The Ottawa Senators Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At 25-33-4, the Senators are in 8th place in the Atlantic Division and 15th in the Eastern Conference. In their last ten games, Ottawa has gone just 2-8 and has dropped five straight contests. At home this season, the Senators have gone 17-14-2.

As the underdog, Ottawa has gone 11-18-4 this season. In the Eastern Conference, the Senators have gone 18-17 and have been the underdog in 33 of their 62 games this year. Over their last three games, Ottawa has gone 0-3.

As the underdog, Ottawa has a puck line record of 18-15 this season, including going 7-18 vs. the puck line as the favorite. Overall, the Senators have a puck line record of 27-35, and their average scoring margin for the year sits at -.3 goals per game.

So far, the Senators have 25 losses by more than one goal compared to just 12 losses by one goal. In their last 10 home games, Ottawa’s puck line record is 5-5, and their average scoring margin at home is even.

Following a 2-1 loss on the road to the Sharks, the Senators are eager to bounce back. The Senators offense struggled in the first and third periods versus the Sharks, but they did score one time in the second period. Their one goal came during a power play situation. In total, they took 32 shots on goal and had 5 giveaways.

Ottawa took a loss against the puck line, going into the game as the favorites with a -1.5-point advantage. With a combined total of 3 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

Pittsburgh Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the Penguins come into the game at 2.8 goals per contest placing 26th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 8th position in the league. In terms of the Penguins’ offense during power plays, they are 26th in power play goals and 25th in shorthanded goals.

The Penguins come in with an over/under record of 24-34-5. Over the course of the season, they have had 38 games failing to surpass the 6.5 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 5.8 per game.

Senators Offense Breakdown

ottawa senators

For their offensive performance, the Senators come in averaging 3.2 goals per game this season, which is 17th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 14th in the league. So far this year, the Senators are 16-21 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 8-12 in games with fewer shots on goal.

This season, the over/under record for the Senators’ is 32-27-3. Over the course of the season, they have had 35 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6.5. On average, their games are averaging 6.8 goals per game.

Pittsburgh Team Defense

The Penguins defense is currently 19th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.1 shots per game against Pittsburgh. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 1st with 7 shutouts.

Ottawa Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Senators head into the game ranked 29th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.6 shots per game against Ottawa. So far, they are 28th in shutouts, achieving 1 shutouts.

Penguins vs Senators Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Pittsburgh has an puck line record of 4-6 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 2-8 overall in these games.
  • Although Ottawa has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 5-5. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Senators have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 1-2.
  • Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Penguins have a strong record of 2-1. Their record vs the puck line in these matchups is 1-2.

Penguins vs Senators Prediction

When making a moneyline pick, my choice is the Senators to come out with a win against the Penguins while playing at home. Considering the moneyline odds at -105, I’m placing my bet on the Senators to win outright.

Our projections have the Senators pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Senators, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6.5 goals, we believe that this game will remain below that figure, and we recommend wagering on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.