Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 2/19/2024

The Ottawa Senators (22-27-2) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (30-21-5) on Monday, February 19th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on ESPN+. Both the Senators and Lightning will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Senators vs Lightning

ottawa senators nhl

The Ottawa Senators Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

On the season, Ottawa is 15th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 22-27-2. In the Atlantic Division, they are in 8th place. Over their last ten games, the Senators are 6-4, and they have lost two straight games. When playing on the road this season, Ottawa is 7-14-0.

As the underdog, Ottawa has a record of 9-16-2, and they have lost two straight games when favored. In games against other Eastern Conference opponents, the Senators are 17-14. Over their last five games, Ottawa has a record of 3-2.

As the underdog, Ottawa has gone 14-13 vs. the puck line this year, including a mark of 4-6 in their last ten road games. Overall, the Senators have dropped 21 games by multiple goals this season.

So far, Ottawa has gone 23-28 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring margin on the road is -.5 goals per contest. In their last ten games, the Senators have gone 6-4 vs. the puck line.

The Senators aim to bounce back following their 3-2 loss on the road to the Blackhawks. In terms of offense, the Senators netted one goal during the opening period and one time in the second period. Ottawa’s one power-play goals contributed to their total of 2 goals. Their offensive performance came with 42 shots on goal and eight giveaways.

Ottawa went into the game favored by -1.5, giving them a loss vs. the puck line. With a combined total of 5 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Through 56 games, the Lightning are 30-21-5 and sit in 6th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Atlantic Division, Tampa Bay is in 4th place. At home this season, the Lightning are 18-6-3.

Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 6-4 and have won five straight games as the favorite. In games where they have been favored, Tampa Bay has gone 21-9-1 this season.

At home this season, the Lightning have a puck line record of 17-10, and their average scoring margin is +.9 goals per game. So far, Tampa Bay has been the favorite in 31 games, and their puck line record when favored is 15-16.

Overall, the team’s puck line record is 29-27, and they have 21 wins by multiple goals. In their last ten home games, the Lightning’s puck line record is 6-4, and their puck line record for the season is 29-27.

Following a 9-2 loss at home to the Panthers, the Lightning are eager to bounce back. Against the Panthers, the Lightning scored one goal in the first period and one time in the 3rd period. Of Tampa Bay’s two goals, one were scored while in power play situations. Their game ended with 30 shots on goal and five giveaways.

Tampa Bay entered as the underdog and suffered both a straight-up loss and did not cover the puck line. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 11 goals.

Ottawa Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Senators are averaging 3.4 goals per game which is 13th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 16th in the league. Coming into the game, the Senators have a 13-17 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 8-10.

The Senators come in with an over/under record of 28-20-3. Over the season, there have been 22 games that have surpassed the 7 over/under line. Their games, on average, are at 7 goals per game.

Lightning Offense Breakdown

tampa bay lightning

The Lightning come into the game scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game, putting them 4th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 17th in the league. So far this year, the Lightning are 19-11 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 11-8 in games with fewer shots on goal.

The Lightning’s over/under record this season is 26-26-4. For the season, they have had 28 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 7. Overall, their games are averaging 6.8 goals per game.

Ottawa Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Senators head into the game ranked 29th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.2 shots per game against Ottawa. So far, they are 28th in shutouts, achieving 1 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

The Lightning defense is currently 15th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Tampa Bay. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 13th with 3 shutouts.

Senators vs Lightning Trends

  • Ottawa has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.
  • Across the Lightning last ten home games, the team averaged 4 goals per game while allowing 3. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 6-4, while going 8-2 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Lightning have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Senators have a straight up record of 1-2 and an puck line mark of 1-2.

Senators vs Lightning Prediction

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Senators to take down the Lightning on the road. With the moneyline currently at +137, I’m placing my bet on the Senators straight-up.

Our projections have the Senators pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Senators, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 7 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.