Senators vs Washington Capitals NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Senators vs Washington Capitals Prediction 2/26/2024

The Ottawa Senators (25-27-3) travel to face off against the Washington Capitals (26-22-9) on Monday, February 26th. This game will be played at Capital One Arena in Washington and televised on ESPN+. The Senators are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Capitals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Panthers. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Senators vs Capitals

ottawa senators nhl

The Ottawa Senators Are Coming Off A Win

When playing on the road this season, the Senators have gone 8-14-1 and are 7th in the Atlantic Division. In games against Eastern Conference opponents, Ottawa has gone 18-15. Over their last ten games, the Senators have a record of 7-3 and have won two straight.

Overall this season, Ottawa is 25-27-3 and is 14th in the Eastern Conference. As the favorite, the Senators have gone 14-11-0, and they have been favored in 25 of their 55 games. In their last three games, Ottawa has gone 2-1, and they are 3-2 in their last five.

On the road this season, Ottawa has gone 11-12 against the puck line and has a road puck line record of 5-5 over their last ten games. So far, the Senators have an average scoring margin of -.1 goals per game.

As the favorite, Ottawa has gone 9-16 against the puck line, and they have 18 wins by multiple goals. Overall, the team’s puck line record is 26-29, and they have gone 6-4 against the puck line in their last ten games.

In their most recent game, the Senators hosted the Golden Knights and secured a 4-3 victory. The first period saw the Senators being held without a goal, but they turned things around offensively by scoring two times in the second period and one goal in the third. Out of Ottawa’s four goals, one were scored during power plays. They concluded the game with 33 shots on goal and had 19 giveaways.

Despite the straight-up win, Ottawa did not cover the puck line, as they were favored by -1.5. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 7 goals.

The Washington Capitals Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, the Capitals have gone 14-9-5 and have been the underdog in 40 of their 57 games. In the Eastern Conference, Washington is in 10th place and fifth in the Metropolitan Division. Over their last ten games, the Capitals have gone 4-6 and are 26-22-9 overall.

So far this season, the Capitals have been the underdog in 40 of their 57 games, and their record as the underdog is 14-20-7. Over their last five games, Washington has gone 3-2, and in the Eastern Conference, they are in 10th place.

Washington comes in with a puck line record of 26-30 this year, and they have gone 3-0 against the puck line in their last three games. So far, the Capitals have had 12 wins by multiple goals and have lost 19 games by more than one goal.

As the underdog, Washington has gone 22-18 against the puck line, and they have a puck line record of 13-15 at home. Their average scoring margin this year is at -0.6 goals per game, and they have been the underdog in 40 of their games.

The Capitals aim to bounce back following their 3-2 loss on the road to the Panthers. During the first period, the Capitals started slow, but they turned things around by scoring one time in the second period and one goal in the third. The team’s two goals came when they were in power play. Overall, they took 24 shots on goal and had 6 giveaways.

Although they didn’t win, Washington did cover the puck line as the underdogs in the game. The game ended below the over/under line of 6, with a combined total of 5 goals.

Ottawa Offense Breakdown

The Senators come into the game scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game, putting them 13th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 15th in the league. Looking at how the Senators’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 22nd in power play goals and 17th in shorthanded goals.

For the season, the over/under record of the Senators’ stands at 29-23-3. They have had 32 games during the season that exceeded the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.9 goals per game.

Capitals Offense Breakdown

washington capitals

On the offensive side, the Capitals are scoring an 2.5 goals per game this season, ranking 30th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 30th in the league. This season, the Capitals are 9-6 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 17-16 record.

The Capitals come in with an over/under record of 24-30-2. Over the course of the season, they have had 35 games failing to surpass the 6.5 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 5.7 per game.

Ottawa Team Defense

Defensively, the Senators come into the season ranked 29th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.8 shots per game against Ottawa. For the season, they are ranked 28th in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.

Washington Team Defense

Defensively, the Capitals come into the season ranked 20th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.6 shots per game against Washington. For the season, they are ranked 13th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Senators vs Capitals Trends

  • Ottawa has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 4-1.
  • Across their last five home contests, Washington has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Capitals have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 6-4.
  • Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Senators have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 0-3.

Senators vs Capitals Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Senators to defeat the Capitals while playing on the road. Given the current moneyline odds at -117, I’m placing a wager on the Senators to win outright.

If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Capitals to cover. Even in the event of a Senators victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Capitals should cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.